Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-05-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (71% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 28.9%

CAR: 71.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.67

CAR: 4.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	1	0.70
1	CAR	11	0	0.75
2	NYR	13	2	1.17
2	CAR	14	0	0.72
3	NYR	8	0	0.18
3	CAR	18	2	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 4.2