New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-05-09 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 60.5%
NYR: 39.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.82
NYR: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0 - 2 CAR | CAR | NYR |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3 - 2 NYR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | CAR |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | NYR |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7 - 3 NYR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:25 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:24 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 01:43 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.8 - 2.7
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