New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-05-11 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CAR: 74.3%

NYR: 25.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 5.48

NYR: 2.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	1	0.99
1	NYR	15	1	1.21
2	CAR	26	2	1.89
2	NYR	20	2	1.76
3	CAR	13	0	0.44
3	NYR	7	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 5.5 - 2.4