Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-05-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 42.9%

EDM: 57.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.10

EDM: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	1	1.11
1	EDM	13	0	0.73
2	VAN	17	3	1.27
2	EDM	9	0	0.45
3	VAN	11	0	0.36
3	EDM	10	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.1 - 3.6