Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-05-10 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 49.5%
EDM: 50.5%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.19
EDM: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | VAN | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VAN 0 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 EDM | VAN | EDM |
| 2025-10-11 | EDM 3 - 1 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-23 | EDM 6 - 2 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-18 | VAN 3 - 2 EDM | VAN | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 10:56 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 00:53 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:16 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 18:17 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 05:27 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 05:38 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.5
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