Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-05-24 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 41.7%

FLA: 58.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.84

FLA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	1	0.96
1	FLA	13	0	0.93
2	NYR	15	0	0.80
2	FLA	14	0	0.80
3	NYR	13	0	0.35
3	FLA	12	0	0.71
4	NYR	7	0	0.23
4	FLA	8	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2