Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-05-25 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 47.4%

EDM: 52.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.18

EDM: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	8	0	0.49
1	EDM	21	1	1.37
2	DAL	15	1	1.22
2	EDM	12	0	0.81
3	DAL	15	2	1.40
3	EDM	9	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1