Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-02 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

EDM: 59.9%

DAL: 40.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.43

DAL: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	6	1	0.73
1	DAL	18	1	1.39
2	EDM	8	0	0.57
2	DAL	17	1	1.27
3	EDM	2	0	0.03
3	DAL	17	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9