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Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-02 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 55.5%
DAL: 44.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.26
DAL: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
StatEDMDAL
Season SV%0.9060.907
Last 5 SV%0.8370.916
SV% vs Opponent0.8200.912
GAA2.732.57
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-12DAL 7 - 2 EDMDALDAL
2025-11-25EDM 3 - 8 DALDALEDM
2025-11-04DAL 4 - 3 EDMDALDAL
2025-05-29DAL 3 - 6 EDMEDMEDM
2025-05-27EDM 4 - 1 DALEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
104:17EDMGoal
115:42EDMGoal
309:18EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 1 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9