Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

EDM: 49.6%

FLA: 50.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.63

FLA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	23	19	4	82.6%	3.29	3	-0.71
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	35	32	3	91.4%	3.99	3	0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	21	2	2.06
1	FLA	14	0	0.97
2	EDM	20	1	1.39
2	FLA	14	2	1.13
3	EDM	11	0	0.54
3	FLA	10	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3