Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

EDM: 61.9%

FLA: 38.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.08

FLA: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	33	32	1	97.0%	2.72	1	1.72
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	35	27	8	77.1%	5.00	6	-3.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	2	1.55
1	FLA	20	0	0.88
2	EDM	28	3	2.69
2	FLA	7	0	0.17
3	EDM	10	1	0.77
3	FLA	23	1	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6