Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 49.4%

FLA: 50.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.01

FLA: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.03
1	FLA	6	0	0.28
2	EDM	7	0	0.46
2	FLA	13	0	0.76
3	EDM	7	2	1.13
3	FLA	15	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9