Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-06-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

EDM: 60.4%

FLA: 39.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.11

FLA: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	21	20	1	95.2%	1.97	1	0.97
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	21	16	5	76.2%	2.63	2	-2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.03
1	FLA	6	0	0.28
2	EDM	7	0	0.46
2	FLA	13	0	0.76
3	EDM	7	2	1.13
3	FLA	15	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7