Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-10-10 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 48.4%
FLA: 51.6%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.93
FLA: 2.41
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 25%
Over 6.5: 15%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | OTT | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.818 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs FLA: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | OTT 5 - 1 FLA | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-03-31 | FLA 6 - 3 OTT | FLA | OTT |
| 2026-01-10 | OTT 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | OTT |
| 2025-10-11 | FLA 6 - 2 OTT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-04-05 | OTT 3 - 0 FLA | OTT | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:52 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 10:42 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:48 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.