Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-10-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NYR: 63.8%

DET: 36.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.51

DET: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NYR at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.88
1	DET	10	1	0.61
2	NYR	15	1	1.40
2	DET	20	4	2.23
3	NYR	13	2	1.43
3	DET	14	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2