New York Islanders at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-10-14 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 6 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 50.9%
NYI: 49.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.87
NYI: 4.21
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | COL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6 - 3 COL | NYI | COL |
| 2025-11-16 | COL 4 - 1 NYI | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 COL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-14 | COL 2 - 6 NYI | NYI | COL |
| 2024-01-02 | COL 5 - 4 NYI | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:01 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:33 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:13 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:25 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:14 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:39 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:48 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 6 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.9 - 4.2