Seattle Kraken at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-10-15 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 7 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 53.1%
SEA: 46.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.32
SEA: 3.88
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | NSH | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 35 | 28 | 7 | 80.0% | 2.45 | 1 | -4.55 |
| SEA | Joey Daccord | 33 | 30 | 3 | 90.9% | 2.63 | 2 | -0.37 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NSH at home vs SEA: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | NSH 3 - 1 SEA | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-03-10 | SEA 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-01 | SEA 4 - 1 NSH | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-06 | NSH 5 - 3 SEA | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3 - 0 NSH | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 16 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 1 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | NSH | 18 | 2 | 1.54 |
| 2 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 3 | SEA | 15 | 1 | 1.12 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 7 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.3 - 3.9
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