Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-10-16 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

TOR: 65.5%

LAK: 34.5%

Expected Goals

TOR: 4.65

LAK: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	LAK 7 - 6 TOR	LAK	LAK
2025-11-13	TOR 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-29	LAK 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK
2024-10-16	TOR 6 - 2 LAK	TOR	TOR
2024-01-02	LAK 0 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	15	0	0.93
1	LAK	16	1	1.00
2	TOR	8	0	0.46
2	LAK	20	0	0.59
3	TOR	7	1	0.71
3	LAK	16	1	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 4.6 - 2.9