Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-10-16 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 52.8%
LAK: 47.2%
Expected Goals
TOR: 4.10
LAK: 1.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | TOR | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • TOR at home vs LAK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | TOR 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
| 2025-03-29 | LAK 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2024-10-16 | TOR 6 - 2 LAK | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-02 | LAK 0 - 3 TOR | TOR | LAK |
| 2023-10-31 | TOR 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:54 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:49 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:12 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:31 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:42 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:03 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:16 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 4.1 - 1.9