Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-10-16 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 66.7%

BOS: 33.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.46

BOS: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • COL at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-25	BOS 3 - 2 COL	BOS	COL
2025-10-18	COL 4 - 1 BOS	COL	COL
2025-01-25	BOS 3 - 1 COL	BOS	COL
2024-10-16	COL 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	COL
2024-01-18	BOS 5 - 2 COL	BOS	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	9	0	0.79
1	BOS	16	2	1.17
2	COL	8	2	0.65
2	BOS	18	3	1.70
3	COL	23	0	1.13
3	BOS	7	2	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6