Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-10-18 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 50.4%
CAR: 49.6%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.75
CAR: 4.11
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | — |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | PIT 5 - 1 CAR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR 4 - 3 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-07 | CAR 5 - 1 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-18 | PIT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | PIT |
| 2024-03-26 | PIT 4 - 1 CAR | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:24 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:52 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:13 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:00 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.7 - 4.1