Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-10-18 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 57.9%
ANA: 42.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.97
ANA: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | COL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.963 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | ANA 1 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-21 | COL 1 - 2 ANA | ANA | COL |
| 2025-11-11 | COL 4 - 1 ANA | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-13 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:05 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:36 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:57 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 00:35 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:42 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:47 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 04:19 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.