Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-10-18 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

COL: 66.2%

ANA: 33.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 5.44

ANA: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	2	2.27
1	ANA	15	4	2.05
2	COL	23	0	1.70
2	ANA	5	0	0.26
3	COL	18	0	1.27
3	ANA	15	1	1.19
4	COL	6	2	0.94
4	ANA	3	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 8.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 5.4 - 2.9