Montreal Canadiens at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NYI: 71.6%

MTL: 28.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.07

MTL: 2.38

Total Goals

Median: 3.9

Over 5.5: 24%

Over 6.5: 15%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs MTL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NYI 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NYI
2026-03-21	MTL 7 - 3 NYI	MTL	MTL
2026-02-26	MTL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MTL
2025-03-20	NYI 4 - 3 MTL	NYI	MTL
2024-12-03	MTL 2 - 1 NYI	MTL	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	14:32	NYI	Goal
1	16:58	NYI	Goal
1	19:56	NYI	Goal
2	00:59	NYI	Goal
3	15:24	NYI	Goal
3	17:50	NYI	Goal
5	00:00	NYI	Goal
5	00:00	NYI	Goal
5	00:00	NYI	Goal
5	00:00	NYI	Goal
5	00:00	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4