Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 53.9%
DAL: 46.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.35
DAL: 2.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | BUF | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs DAL: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | DAL 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | DAL |
| 2024-12-31 | DAL 4 - 2 BUF | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-22 | BUF 4 - 2 DAL | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-04-09 | DAL 3 - 2 BUF | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-06 | BUF 1 - 2 DAL | DAL | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:21 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 13:44 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:24 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:48 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.4 - 2.1