Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CHI: 40.5%

VAN: 59.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.96

VAN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	30	24	6	80.0%	2.89	4	-3.11
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	34	31	3	91.2%	2.97	1	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs VAN: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	CHI 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-11-05	VAN 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	VAN
2025-10-17	CHI 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-03-15	VAN 6 - 2 CHI	VAN	VAN
2024-11-16	VAN 4 - 1 CHI	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.92
1	VAN	15	2	1.61
2	CHI	14	0	0.77
2	VAN	14	2	0.62
3	CHI	15	1	1.28
3	VAN	12	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3