Ottawa Senators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 0 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

UTA: 46.3%

OTT: 53.7%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.67

OTT: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	22	18	4	81.8%	2.89	6	-1.11
OTT	Anton Forsberg	31	31	0	100.0%	3.84	3	3.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs OTT: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	UTA 3 - 1 OTT	UTA	OTT
2025-11-09	OTT 4 - 2 UTA	OTT	OTT
2025-01-26	OTT 3 - 1 UTA	OTT	OTT
2024-10-22	UTA 0 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	2	1.15
1	OTT	13	4	1.71
2	UTA	24	1	1.84
2	OTT	9	2	0.79
3	UTA	12	0	0.85
3	OTT	12	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 0 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2