Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-10-24 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 51.2%
CAR: 48.8%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.29
CAR: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | CGY | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CGY at home vs CAR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | CAR 1 - 0 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-02 | CAR 2 - 1 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-24 | CGY 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CGY |
| 2024-03-10 | CAR 7 - 2 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-12-07 | CGY 3 - 2 CAR | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:29 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:59 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0