Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 42.9%

TOR: 57.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.71

TOR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.0

Over 5.5: 46%

Over 6.5: 29%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	00:35	TOR	Goal
2	02:57	BOS	Goal
2	07:44	TOR	Goal
2	12:38	BOS	Goal
2	13:14	BOS	Goal
3	18:43	BOS	Goal
4	02:26	BOS	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2