Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

NJD: 76.3%

ANA: 23.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 4.30

ANA: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

ANA

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	26	24	2	92.3%	1.85	1	-0.15
ANA	J. Reimer	34	28	6	82.4%	3.60	1	-2.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	25	0	1.37
1	ANA	10	0	0.52
2	NJD	18	1	1.57
2	ANA	6	0	0.11
3	NJD	8	0	0.66
3	ANA	20	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.3 - 2.6