San Jose Sharks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 73.4%

SJS: 26.6%

Expected Goals

UTA: 4.01

SJS: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • UTA at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-01	SJS 6 - 3 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-11-18	SJS 3 - 2 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-10-17	UTA 6 - 3 SJS	UTA	UTA
2025-01-10	UTA 2 - 1 SJS	UTA	UTA
2024-12-14	SJS 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	1	0.70
1	SJS	14	3	1.41
2	UTA	14	1	1.07
2	SJS	22	1	1.20
3	UTA	8	0	0.35
3	SJS	22	1	1.22
4	UTA	1	0	0.15
4	SJS	4	1	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 73.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.6