San Jose Sharks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-10-28 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 55.7%
SJS: 44.3%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.82
SJS: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | UTA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | 0.883 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | SJS 6 - 3 UTA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-18 | SJS 3 - 2 UTA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-17 | UTA 6 - 3 SJS | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-10 | UTA 2 - 1 SJS | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-14 | SJS 3 - 4 UTA | UTA | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:00 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:24 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:12 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:38 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:36 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:28 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:53 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:18 | UTA | Goal |
| 4 | 01:26 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 3.1