Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VAN: 19.4%

CAR: 80.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.76

CAR: 3.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	32	28	4	87.5%	3.03	2	-0.97
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	27	24	3	88.9%	3.33	3	0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	1	0.80
1	CAR	16	1	1.04
2	VAN	15	0	1.20
2	CAR	15	0	1.27
3	VAN	15	2	1.33
3	CAR	10	0	0.34
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	CAR	2	1	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.7