Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 55.1%
ANA: 44.9%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.20
ANA: 2.43
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | NYI | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYI at home vs ANA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | NYI 5 - 2 ANA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-03-09 | ANA 4 - 1 NYI | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-10-29 | NYI 1 - 3 ANA | ANA | NYI |
| 2024-03-10 | ANA 1 - 6 NYI | NYI | ANA |
| 2023-12-13 | NYI 4 - 3 ANA | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:05 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:07 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:31 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.4