Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-10-29 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 39.1%

LAK: 60.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.82

LAK: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	28	26	2	92.9%	3.12	2	1.12
LAK	David Rittich	21	17	4	81.0%	3.26	2	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	LAK
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	0	0.72
1	LAK	10	0	0.46
2	SJS	10	0	0.58
2	LAK	28	2	1.96
3	SJS	15	2	1.96
3	LAK	9	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4