Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 44.1%
LAK: 55.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.97
LAK: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 8.2
Over 5.5: 87%
Over 6.5: 75%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | SJS | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:20 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 03:18 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 06:25 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 08:52 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:02 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:22 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 4.0 - 2.8
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