New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-11-04 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 53.5%
NJD: 46.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.04
NJD: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | EDM | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs NJD: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | EDM 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-10-18 | NJD 5 - 3 EDM | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-03-13 | NJD 3 - 2 EDM | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-11-04 | EDM 0 - 3 NJD | NJD | EDM |
| 2023-12-21 | NJD 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:18 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 16:34 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 09:25 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9