Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-11-05 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 0 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 60.1%
BOS: 39.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.23
BOS: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | TOR | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.910 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • TOR at home vs BOS: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | BOS 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | BOS |
| 2025-11-11 | BOS 5 - 3 TOR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-08 | TOR 3 - 5 BOS | BOS | TOR |
| 2025-02-25 | BOS 4 - 5 TOR | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-04 | TOR 6 - 4 BOS | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:44 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:58 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:13 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:58 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 0 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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