Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-05 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CAR: 82.2%

PHI: 17.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.45

PHI: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

PHI

Aleksei Kolosov - 5-9-1 | 0.867 SV% | 3.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	16	12	4	75.0%	1.95	0	-2.05
PHI	Aleksei Kolosov	35	29	6	82.9%	4.98	6	-1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	2	1.38
1	PHI	13	0	1.06
2	CAR	21	0	0.95
2	PHI	8	0	0.59
3	CAR	24	4	2.66
3	PHI	5	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 82.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 4.5 - 2.6