Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-05 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 55.0%
TBL: 45.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.91
TBL: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | STL | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.765 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs TBL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | STL 3 - 2 TBL | STL | TBL |
| 2025-12-22 | TBL 4 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-19 | TBL 3 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-05 | STL 3 - 2 TBL | STL | STL |
| 2023-12-19 | TBL 6 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:25 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:57 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:39 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:43 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:51 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0