New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 57.2%

NYI: 42.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.17

NYI: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • OTT at home vs NYI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.63
1	NYI	10	0	0.63
2	OTT	18	0	0.96
2	NYI	12	1	0.95
3	OTT	16	0	1.01
3	NYI	8	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0