Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

FLA: 63.1%

PHI: 36.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.16

PHI: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	20	0	0.80
1	PHI	15	1	1.18
2	FLA	14	0	1.01
2	PHI	16	1	1.12
3	FLA	14	0	0.54
3	PHI	9	0	0.50
4	FLA	4	0	0.46
4	PHI	7	0	0.91
5	FLA	5	2	1.87
5	PHI	5	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0