New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 33.3%

NYR: 66.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.48

NYR: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	24	20	4	83.3%	2.49	2	-1.51
NYR	Jonathan Quick	37	37	0	100.0%	3.61	0	3.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	DET
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	0	0.91
1	NYR	9	0	0.39
2	DET	29	0	1.95
2	NYR	9	1	0.48
3	DET	15	0	0.75
3	NYR	18	1	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4