Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

COL: 51.0%

CAR: 49.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.04

CAR: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

CAR

Spencer Martin - 7-9-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.30 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	31	27	4	87.1%	3.39	2	-0.61
CAR	Spencer Martin	29	23	6	79.3%	4.69	5	-1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	CAR
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	COL
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	9	0	0.69
1	CAR	20	0	1.57
2	COL	26	4	2.97
2	CAR	11	1	0.83
3	COL	7	1	1.03
3	CAR	17	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6