New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

FLA: 48.0%

NJD: 52.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.22

NJD: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	24	20	4	83.3%	3.00	2	-1.00
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	35	34	1	97.1%	3.22	2	2.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • FLA at home vs NJD: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	1	0.94
1	NJD	11	0	0.58
2	FLA	17	1	1.09
2	NJD	13	0	1.10
3	FLA	20	0	1.18
3	NJD	13	2	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1