New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-11-12 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 56.0%
NJD: 44.0%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.58
NJD: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | FLA | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • FLA at home vs NJD: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | FLA 1 - 0 NJD | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-16 | NJD 3 - 1 FLA | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-14 | NJD 1 - 2 FLA | FLA | NJD |
| 2024-11-14 | FLA 2 - 6 NJD | NJD | FLA |
| 2024-11-12 | FLA 1 - 4 NJD | NJD | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:30 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 17:29 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 08:41 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:58 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 15:07 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.6 - 2.4