Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 50.4%

BOS: 49.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

BOS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	27	3	90.0%	4.26	3	1.26
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	22	20	2	90.9%	2.22	4	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	STL
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	STL
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	7	0	0.27
1	BOS	15	1	1.28
2	STL	9	3	1.30
2	BOS	13	1	1.16
3	STL	13	1	0.65
3	BOS	18	1	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9