Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 50.6%

BOS: 49.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.99

BOS: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	STL 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	STL
2025-12-04	BOS 5 - 2 STL	BOS	BOS
2024-11-16	BOS 2 - 3 STL	STL	BOS
2024-11-12	STL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	STL
2024-03-11	BOS 1 - 5 STL	STL	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	7	0	0.27
1	BOS	15	1	1.28
2	STL	9	3	1.30
2	BOS	13	1	1.16
3	STL	13	1	0.65
3	BOS	18	1	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1