Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-12 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.0%
BOS: 50.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.86
BOS: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | STL | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • STL at home vs BOS: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | STL 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2025-12-04 | BOS 5 - 2 STL | BOS | STL |
| 2024-11-16 | BOS 2 - 3 STL | STL | BOS |
| 2024-11-12 | STL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | STL |
| 2024-03-11 | BOS 1 - 5 STL | STL | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 09:24 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:12 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:53 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:13 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.