Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-11-16 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 66.0%
OTT: 34.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.79
OTT: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CAR | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs OTT: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | OTT 6 - 3 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:00 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:18 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:43 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:06 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6
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