Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

VAN: 61.2%

CHI: 38.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.37

CHI: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Arturs Silovs	29	28	1	96.6%	2.72	2	1.72
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	33	29	4	87.9%	3.38	2	-0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs CHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	CHI 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-11-05	VAN 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	VAN
2025-10-17	CHI 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-03-15	VAN 6 - 2 CHI	VAN	VAN
2024-11-16	VAN 4 - 1 CHI	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	0	0.61
1	CHI	18	2	1.58
2	VAN	26	0	1.12
2	CHI	10	0	0.86
3	VAN	10	2	1.65
3	CHI	8	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7