New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-11-19 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 55.8%
NYR: 44.2%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.67
NYR: 3.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | VAN | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • VAN at home vs NYR: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | NYR 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | NYR |
| 2025-10-28 | VAN 0 - 2 NYR | NYR | VAN |
| 2025-03-22 | NYR 5 - 3 VAN | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-11-19 | VAN 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | VAN |
| 2024-01-08 | NYR 3 - 6 VAN | VAN | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 02:31 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 14:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:39 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:02 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 10:43 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.8