Utah Hockey Club at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 57.6%
UTA: 42.4%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.18
UTA: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | PIT | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • PIT at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | PIT 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | PIT |
| 2025-01-29 | UTA 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | UTA |
| 2024-11-23 | PIT 1 - 6 UTA | UTA | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:54 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:07 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:11 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:37 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:38 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:25 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:59 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8