St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-11-25 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 62.0%
STL: 38.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.63
STL: 2.42
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | NYR | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.935 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | STL 1 - 2 NYR | NYR | STL |
| 2025-11-24 | NYR 3 - 2 STL | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-15 | STL 3 - 2 NYR | STL | STL |
| 2024-11-25 | NYR 2 - 5 STL | STL | NYR |
| 2024-03-09 | NYR 4 - 0 STL | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:47 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:30 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 01:12 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:25 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:15 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.4