Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VGK: 51.6%

WPG: 48.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.14

WPG: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VGK at home vs WPG: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	VGK
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	20	1	1.31
1	WPG	9	0	0.55
2	VGK	10	0	0.66
2	WPG	16	0	0.81
3	VGK	11	1	0.92
3	WPG	20	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1