Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NYR: 50.5%

MTL: 49.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.51

MTL: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NYR 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-13	NYR 5 - 4 MTL	NYR	NYR
2025-10-18	MTL 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	MTL
2025-01-19	MTL 5 - 4 NYR	MTL	MTL
2024-11-30	NYR 4 - 3 MTL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	0.81
1	MTL	9	1	0.90
2	NYR	20	0	1.01
2	MTL	22	0	1.26
3	NYR	11	1	0.82
3	MTL	14	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1