Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 52.3%
PHI: 47.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.30
PHI: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | STL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs PHI: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | PHI 3 - 2 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-11-14 | STL 5 - 6 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-11-30 | STL 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-10-31 | PHI 2 - 1 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-04 | PHI 1 - 2 STL | STL | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:11 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:02 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | STL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:28 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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