Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-04 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 62.8%
VGK: 37.2%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.17
VGK: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | ANA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • ANA at home vs VGK: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-22 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-08 | VGK 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | VGK |
| 2024-12-23 | VGK 3 - 1 ANA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-04 | ANA 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:26 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 18:01 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:05 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:16 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7