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2025-26 Season Live

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
NYI: 46.7%
CAR: 53.3%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.89
CAR: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
StatNYICAR
Season SV%0.9100.901
Last 5 SV%0.8510.887
SV% vs Opponent0.9000.919
GAA2.552.33
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-14NYI 1 - 2 CARCARCAR
2026-04-04CAR 4 - 3 NYICARCAR
2025-10-30CAR 6 - 2 NYICARCAR
2025-03-30CAR 6 - 4 NYICARCAR
2025-01-25NYI 3 - 2 CARNYICAR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
115:43CARGoal
206:05NYIGoal
209:23CARGoal
210:06NYIGoal
216:16NYIGoal
218:55NYIGoal
319:11NYIGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3